Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.181320 0.209393 0.241875 0.282594 0.332782 0.393287 4.727901e-01
2025-02-16 0.137554 0.172401 0.217471 0.281501 0.372655 0.501961 7.075913e-01
2025-02-23 0.112856 0.149902 0.201860 0.283094 0.413073 0.625374 1.029543e+00
2025-03-02 0.096520 0.133955 0.189840 0.284188 0.450713 0.759069 1.457164e+00
2025-03-09 0.084293 0.121078 0.178790 0.282564 0.481743 0.894619 2.000352e+00
2025-03-16 0.074310 0.109687 0.167449 0.276849 0.502362 1.019289 2.645457e+00
2025-03-23 0.068659 0.104164 0.164540 0.285254 0.553963 1.243817 3.883943e+00
2025-03-30 0.062052 0.096040 0.155589 0.279596 0.572541 1.396738 5.141412e+00
2025-04-06 0.057790 0.091319 0.151932 0.283762 0.616161 1.654574 7.493157e+00
2025-04-13 0.053275 0.085569 0.145416 0.280223 0.638959 1.865503 1.029595e+01
2025-04-20 0.050300 0.082232 0.143036 0.285436 0.688368 2.221820 1.593554e+01
2025-04-27 0.047842 0.079552 0.141540 0.292384 0.746516 2.682412 2.640201e+01
2025-05-04 0.045407 0.076715 0.139456 0.297861 0.804857 3.235663 4.664950e+01
2025-05-11 0.043392 0.074487 0.138375 0.305872 0.877569 3.999485 9.579628e+01
2025-05-18 0.041316 0.071917 0.136191 0.310479 0.941563 4.851333 2.146329e+02
2025-05-25 0.039275 0.069210 0.133328 0.312569 0.998022 5.800232 5.567853e+02
2025-06-01 0.037202 0.066242 0.129488 0.310984 1.039211 6.755124 1.724705e+03
2025-06-08 0.035045 0.062911 0.124402 0.304581 1.056221 7.552036 6.420168e+03
2025-06-15 0.033970 0.061769 0.124396 0.314133 1.157717 9.767687 1.993904e+06
2025-06-22 0.032146 0.058867 0.119760 0.307723 1.174409 10.955762 NaN
2025-06-29 0.031023 0.057396 0.118516 0.312449 1.257049 13.763250 NaN
2025-07-06 0.029577 0.055103 0.114940 0.308437 1.287856 15.888250 NaN
2025-07-13 0.028679 0.053959 0.114191 0.314350 1.386270 20.615036 NaN